(Updated Monday 2/8/2010)
An update on the potential for indicator change is posted today, Monday 2/8/10:
A new "UP" indicator will be generated in Major Market #2 (Short-Term) if Tuesday’s 2/9/10 market close is higher than Monday’s 2/8/10 market close.
In other words, if the S&P 500 is higher than Monday’s high of 1072 at 3:45PM on Tuesday 2/9/10, the indicator will move to “UP”. Otherwise, the indicator will remain on “DOWN” for at least another day. If this is too complicated or you can’t follow the market at 3:45PM, simply wait until an indicator change is posted.
An update will be posted here by Tuesday at 10PM US Eastern time.
An e-mail will be sent to registered subscribers if an indicator change DOES occur.
The publisher has been 60% invested in conservative stock fund positions and 40% in cash funds since the last indicator change to “DOWN” in May 2009. The publisher will change his allocation to 60% invested in conservative fund positions, 40% invested in aggressive stock fund positions if indicator #2 changes to “UP”.
Where do I get the S&P 500 price at 3:30PM-3:45PM? The best place is a stock broker’s live price updates; most free market price updates are not live – they delayed by up to 15 minutes. If you must check a free site for updates, you can use Bloomberg here:
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/wei.html
There is also a possibility that Major Market Indicator #1 and #3 will change to “UP” in the next few days.
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(Updated Thursday 2/4/2010) An advanced warning of a potential indicator change is posted today, Thursday 2/4/10:
A new "UP" indicator in Major Market #2 (Short-Term) is likely to occur during the next few days, and as early as this weekend. In the mean time, the indicator will remain on “DOWN”.
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Please monitor the site and your e-mail for further indicator changes and warnings. An e-mail alert will be sent to registered readers when a new indicator change occurs.
401ktrend.com does not recommend that its readers, subscribers, or anybody else enter/exit positions, exchange into/from funds, or complete any transaction based on the information on the 401ktrend.com website or any associated communications.
Why Are the Performance Charts Infrequently Updated?
The publisher monitors the indicators daily, and will immediately update the site and send out an e-mail to all registered users if an indicator changes. Performance charts are typically updated after indicators change - very infrequently.
We will be releasing a next generation re-creation of the entire 401ktrend.com web site in 2Q 2010 – the new web site tools will enable much more frequent updates, blog capability, and the ability for 401k participants and other investors to collaborate.
Other Potential Uses and Benefits of the Market Timing Trend Indicators:
- For trading Profunds mutual funds and Proshares ETF's in brokerage accounts. See the following links for details on these products: Profunds Ultra Funds, Proshares Ultra ETF's. As entry/exit signals for individual company stock trades.
- Mutual funds investing outside of retirement accounts.
- Option trading market timing strategies.
- As a lower risk alternative to single company stock investing.
- For increasing returns without increasing current year income taxes (in 401k and Roth IRA accounts).
- Optimizing new mutual fund portfolios following 401k rollover and Roth IRA rollover moves.
- See FAQ for futher details on potential uses.
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